── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Yoshihito Nishioka
57%43%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
JPN
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jan Lennard StruffYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard22
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-12Davis Cup QLS R2: GER vs JPNHardRRJan Lennard Struff6-4 6-7(4) 6-4
2023-09-20ZhuhaiHardQFYoshihito Nishioka6-4 7-5
2020-10-19Cologne 2HardR16Yoshihito Nishioka2-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardR64Jan Lennard Struff4-6 7-5 6-2