── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Mackenzie Mcdonald
58%42%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 88% / 12%
Grass: 61% / 39%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jan Lennard StruffMackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR32Jan Lennard Struff2-6 6-3 6-4
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Jan Lennard Struff3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 6-3