── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Mackenzie Mcdonald
70%30%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#159
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR32Jan Lennard Struff2-6 6-3 6-4
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR128Jan Lennard Struff3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 6-3