── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Karen Khachanov
29%71%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jan Lennard StruffKaren Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard31
Clay02
Grass01
── 7 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardR16Jan Lennard Struff4-6 7-6(5) 6-3
2022-07-18HamburgClayR32Karen Khachanov3-6 6-3 7-6(2)
2020-09-21HamburgClayR32Karen Khachanov7-6(5) 4-6 7-5
2019-10-28Paris MastersHardR32Jan Lennard Struff7-6(5) 3-6 7-5
2019-06-17HalleGrassR16Karen Khachanov6-3 3-6 6-4
2016-03-07Jonkoping CHHardSFKaren Khachanov1-6 7-6(4) 7-6(1)
2013-10-28Geneva CHHardQFJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-4