── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Lennard Struff
Frances Tiafoe
28%72%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-4 6-3 7-6(7) |
| 2023-06-12 | Stuttgart | Grass | F | Frances Tiafoe | 4-6 7-6(1) 7-6(8) |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Jan Lennard Struff | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3 |
| 2019-10-14 | Antwerp | Hard | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-3 6-4 |