── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Corentin Moutet
56%44%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–3
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardQFCorentin Moutet6-4 7-5
2024-11-04MetzHardR16Corentin Moutet7-6(2) 5-7 6-3
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsClayR32Jan Lennard StruffW/O
2023-05-15Bordeaux CHClayQFJan Lennard Struff6-3 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2HardR32Corentin Moutet6-2 6-4