── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Corentin Moutet
39%61%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
GER
country
FRA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jan Lennard StruffCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard03
Clay20
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13AlmatyHardQFCorentin Moutet6-4 7-5
2024-11-04MetzHardR16Corentin Moutet7-6(2) 5-7 6-3
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsClayR32Jan Lennard StruffW/O
2023-05-15Bordeaux CHClayQFJan Lennard Struff6-3 6-2
2022-01-10Adelaide 2HardR32Corentin Moutet6-2 6-4