── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
63%37%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 95% / 5%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-01US OpenHardR128Jan Lennard Struff6-4 6-3 6-3