── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Brandon Nakashima
28%72%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 42% / 58%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#18
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-02WimbledonGrassR64Jan Lennard Struff4-6 7-6(6) 7-6(5) 6-7(6) 7-6(7)
2024-06-10StuttgartGrassQFBrandon NakashimaW/O