── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jan Lennard Struff 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Alexander Shevchenko
64%36%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 94% / 6%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#76
model rank
#137
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
KAZ
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-07-21KitzbuhelClayR32Jan Lennard Struff3-6 7-6(5) 6-4
2024-11-04MetzHardR32Jan Lennard Struff3-6 6-4 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenHardQ1Jan Lennard Struff6-4 6-4