── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Holger Rune 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jan Lennard Struff
Holger Rune
23%77%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Holger Rune
86th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#102
model rank
#20
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
DEN
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jan Lennard StruffHolger Rune
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardR64Jan Lennard Struff7-6(5) 2-6 6-3 4-6 7-5
2024-04-15MunichClaySFJan Lennard Struff6-2 6-0