── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jan Lennard Struff
Matteo Arnaldi
38%62%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jan Lennard Struff
61th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Jan Lennard Struff
50th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#102
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jan Lennard Struff■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Stuttgart | Grass | R32 | Jan Lennard Struff | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Matteo Arnaldi | 6-3 3-6 6-4 |
| 2022-10-31 | Bergamo CH | Hard | QF | Jan Lennard Struff | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |