── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Novak Djokovic
4%96%
Hard: 4% / 96%
Clay: 4% / 96%
Grass: 5% / 95%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Return
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg
Novak Djokovic
97th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#4
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
SRB
175cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Novak Djokovic | 6-3 6-2 6-0 |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-4 7-5 |