── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniel Evans 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Federico Coria
58%42%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 90% / 10%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
7th · poor
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Daniel Evans
26th · below avg
Federico Coria
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#182
model rank
#184
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
175cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monza CH | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniel Evans | 6-2 6-0 |