── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Federico Coria a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Federico Coria
49%51%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 92% / 8%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Federico Coria
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#171
model rank
#169
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
ARG
175cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-07 | Monza CH | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 4-6 6-1 6-2 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniel Evans | 6-2 6-0 |