── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Karen Khachanov
14%86%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 12% / 88%
Grass: 33% / 67%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#171
model rank
#34
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
RUS
175cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–1
Clay1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Daniel Evans | 6-7(6) 7-6(2) 7-6(4) 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-04-17 | Barcelona | Clay | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-10-24 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Daniel Evans | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2020-10-19 | Antwerp | Hard | QF | Daniel Evans | 3-6 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2020-02-10 | Rotterdam | Hard | R16 | Daniel Evans | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |