── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Daniel Evans
Brandon Nakashima
16%84%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 22% / 78%
Grass: 34% / 66%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#171
model rank
#42
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
175cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Daniel EvansBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass02
Clay01
Hard11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubGrassR16Brandon Nakashima7-5 7-6(4)
2024-06-17Queen's ClubGrassR32Brandon Nakashima4-6 6-3 0-0 RET
2024-04-15BarcelonaClayR64Brandon Nakashima7-6(5) 6-2
2022-10-31Paris MastersHardR64Daniel Evans6-3 3-6 6-4
2021-08-02WashingtonHardR32Brandon Nakashima7-6(1) 6-0