── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Emilio Nava 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Emilio Nava
26%74%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 72% / 28%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Emilio Nava
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#171
model rank
#92
Grass
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
175cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Emilio Nava
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-30 | Canberra CH | Hard | Q1 | Daniel Evans | 7-5 0-6 6-3 |