── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex Michelsen 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniel Evans
Alex Michelsen
18%82%
Hard: 14% / 86%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 47% / 53%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniel Evans
6th · poor
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Daniel Evans
30th · below avg
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#171
model rank
#47
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GBR
country
USA
175cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniel Evans■ Alex Michelsen
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Daniel Evans | 6-4 6-4 |