── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 96% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Vasek Pospisil
Sebastian Korda
4%96%
Hard: 5% / 95%
Clay: 6% / 94%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Vasek Pospisil
12th · poor
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Vasek Pospisil
2th · poor
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#181
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
USA
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Vasek PospisilSebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-08-05Canada MastersHardR64Sebastian Korda2-1 RET
2021-08-02WashingtonHardR32Sebastian Korda7-5 6-4
2019-11-04Knoxville CHHardR32Vasek Pospisil6-4 6-4