── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Roberto Bautista Agut a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Roberto Bautista Agut
45%55%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Roberto Bautista Agut
34th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Roberto Bautista Agut
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#141
model rank
#122
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ESP
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

David GoffinRoberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard24
Clay20
── 8 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Cap Cana CHHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-1 6-4
2021-02-22MontpellierHardFDavid Goffin5-7 6-4 6-2
2018-04-23BarcelonaClayQFDavid Goffin6-7(3) 6-2 6-2
2018-04-16Monte Carlo MastersClayR16David Goffin6-4 7-5
2017-02-06SofiaHardSFDavid Goffin5-7 6-4 7-6(3)
2015-08-31US OpenHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut2-6 5-7 6-3 3-1 RET
2013-02-25DubaiHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-2 7-5
2012-02-06Quimper CHHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut2-6 6-3 6-4