── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marin Cilic 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Marin Cilic
32%68%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Marin Cilic
76th · strong
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Marin Cilic
43th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#152
model rank
#81
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
CRO
180cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Marin Cilic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–4
Clay2–2
── 11 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(9) 7-5 |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | Q2 | Marin Cilic | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2021-04-12 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | David Goffin | 6-4 3-6 6-0 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R32 | Marin Cilic | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2019-10-21 | Basel | Hard | R32 | David Goffin | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-08-27 | US Open | Hard | R16 | Marin Cilic | 7-6(6) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2017-05-15 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2016-10-31 | Paris Masters | Hard | R16 | Marin Cilic | 6-3 7-6(9) |
| 2016-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | David Goffin | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2016-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | QF | David Goffin | 7-6(4) 6-2 |
| 2016-03-04 | Davis Cup WG R1: CRO vs BEL | Clay | RR | David Goffin | 6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5 |