── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes David Goffin 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Facundo Bagnis
61%39%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#141
model rank
#167
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
ARG
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Facundo Bagnis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | Q1 | Facundo Bagnis | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-10 | Sydney | Hard | R32 | David Goffin | 6-4 6-4 |