── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes David Goffin a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Mackenzie Mcdonald
51%49%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#159
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
USA
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ David Goffin■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–2
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4
2021-08-30Us OpenHardR128Mackenzie Mcdonald6-2 7-5 6-3
2013-08-11Cincinnati MastersHardR64David Goffin6-1 6-1