── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexandre Muller a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Alexandre Muller
47%53%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Alexandre Muller
23th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Alexandre Muller
19th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#152
model rank
#148
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
FRA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Alexandre Muller
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | David Goffin | 6-7(6) 6-1 6-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Alexandre Muller | 6-3 3-6 1-0 RET |