── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Lorenzo Sonego
37%63%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#141
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | David Goffin | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Winston-Salem | Hard | SF | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | Q1 | Lorenzo Sonego | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-02-22 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | David Goffin | 6-4 6-4 |