── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Corentin Moutet
30%70%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#141
model rank
#57
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

David GoffinCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay11
Grass01
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayQ2Corentin Moutet2-6 7-6(4) 7-5
2021-06-14HalleGrassR32Corentin Moutet1-6 7-5 0-0 RET
2019-08-26US OpenHardR128David Goffin6-3 3-6 6-4 6-0
2018-05-28Roland GarrosClayR64David Goffin7-5 6-0 6-1