── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Corentin Moutet 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Corentin Moutet
36%64%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Corentin Moutet
24th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Corentin Moutet
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#101
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BEL
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ David Goffin■ Corentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–1
Grass0–1
Hard1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayQ2Corentin Moutet2-6 7-6(4) 7-5
2021-06-14HalleGrassR32Corentin Moutet1-6 7-5 0-0 RET
2019-08-26US OpenHardR128David Goffin6-3 3-6 6-4 6-0
2018-05-28Roland GarrosClayR64David Goffin7-5 6-0 6-1