── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Sebastian Baez
35%65%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Sebastian Baez
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#141
model rank
#77
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ARG
180cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard0–1
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Sebastian Baez | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | David Goffin | 6-1 6-2 6-4 |