── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Mariano Navone 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Mariano Navone
24%76%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Mariano Navone
32th · below avg
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Mariano Navone
96th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#50
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
ARG
180cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ David Goffin■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-14MunichClayR16David Goffin0-6 7-5 6-1