── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gabriel Diallo 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
David Goffin
Gabriel Diallo
37%63%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#141
model rank
#93
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
CAN
180cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ David Goffin■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Gabriel Diallo | 3-0 RET |
| 2024-01-15 | Australian Open | Hard | Q3 | David Goffin | 3-6 6-3 6-2 |