── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Gabriel Diallo 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Gabriel Diallo
35%65%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 51% / 49%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
8th · poor
Gabriel Diallo
66th · average
Return
David Goffin
72th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
35th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#152
model rank
#94
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
CAN
180cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ David Goffin■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR32Gabriel Diallo3-0 RET
2024-01-15Australian OpenHardQ3David Goffin3-6 6-3 6-2