── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ignacio Buse 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

David Goffin
Ignacio Buse
24%76%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 87% / 13%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
David Goffin
13th · poor
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
David Goffin
78th · strong
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#141
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BEL
country
PER
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

David GoffinIgnacio Buse
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersClayQ1David Goffin2-6 6-3 6-3