── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Christopher Oconnell
76%24%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 88% / 12%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#142
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovChristopher Oconnell
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard21
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-24DubaiHardR32Christopher Oconnell6-0 0-0 RET
2023-09-20ChengduHardQFGrigor Dimitrov6-4 6-1
2023-05-22GenevaClayQFGrigor Dimitrov6-7(5) 7-5 6-4
2017-01-16Australian OpenHardR128Grigor Dimitrov7-6(2) 6-3 6-3