── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Yoshihito Nishioka
78%22%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#52
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BUL
country
JPN
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay2–0
Hard1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Grigor Dimitrov6-2 6-3 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Grigor Dimitrov7-5 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayR32Grigor Dimitrov6-1 6-0
2018-12-31BrisbaneHardR32Grigor Dimitrov6-3 6-4