── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Yoshihito Nishioka
73%27%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 79% / 21%
Grass: 91% / 9%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#128
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BUL
country
JPN
191cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovYoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Clay20
Hard10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR128Grigor Dimitrov6-2 6-3 6-4
2024-05-06Rome MastersClayR64Grigor Dimitrov7-5 6-4
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayR32Grigor Dimitrov6-1 6-0
2018-12-31BrisbaneHardR32Grigor Dimitrov6-3 6-4