── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Jordan Thompson
63%37%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 87% / 13%
Grass: 67% / 33%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Jordan Thompson
64th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovJordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard31
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30BrisbaneHardQFGrigor Dimitrov6-1 2-1 RET
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardSFGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR64Grigor Dimitrov7-6(3) 6-2
2019-03-18Miami MastersHardR32Jordan Thompson7-5 7-5