── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Jordan Thompson
60%40%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Jordan Thompson
66th · average
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Jordan Thompson
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#52
model rank
#81
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
AUS
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard3–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-12-30BrisbaneHardQFGrigor Dimitrov6-1 2-1 RET
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardSFGrigor Dimitrov6-3 7-5
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersHardR64Grigor Dimitrov7-6(3) 6-2
2019-03-18Miami MastersHardR32Jordan Thompson7-5 7-5