── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Grigor Dimitrov
Karen Khachanov
38%62%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#25
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
RUS
191cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard5–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-7(3) 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Hard | SF | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-7(3) 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(6) 6-4 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 4-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2020-10-26 | Vienna | Hard | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(6) 6-3 |