── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Alejandro Tabilo
45%55%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#30
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BUL
country
CHI
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovAlejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard20
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersClayR16Grigor Dimitrov6-3 3-6 6-2
2024-09-20Laver CupHardRRGrigor Dimitrov7-6(4) 7-6(2)
2024-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Grigor Dimitrov6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2