── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Grigor Dimitrov
Matteo Berrettini
47%53%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
ITA
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3 |
| 2019-10-21 | Vienna | Hard | R16 | Matteo Berrettini | 7-6(5) 7-6(1) |
| 2019-04-15 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-5 6-4 |