── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Corentin Moutet
57%43%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 68% / 32%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Corentin Moutet
29th · below avg
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Corentin Moutet
93th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
BUL
country
FRA
191cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovCorentin Moutet
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass11
Hard01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassR64Grigor Dimitrov7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5
2021-02-01Murray River OpenHardQFCorentin Moutet7-5 6-2
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassR128Corentin Moutet2-6 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 6-1