── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Grigor Dimitrov
Alexei Popyrin
62%38%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 87% / 13%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
73th · strong
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
25th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#90
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
AUS
191cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | R128 | Alexei Popyrin | 3-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2024-08-05 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Alexei Popyrin | 4-6 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2021-08-30 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-6(4) 7-6(4) 4-0 RET |
| 2021-02-01 | Murray River Open | Hard | R16 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 |