── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jannik Sinner 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Grigor Dimitrov
Jannik Sinner
5%95%
Hard: 6% / 94%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 21% / 79%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Jannik Sinner
100th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#41
model rank
#1
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
ITA
191cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Jannik Sinner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Clay1–1
Hard0–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-30 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Jannik Sinner | 3-6 5-7 2-2 RET |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-2 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2024-03-18 | Miami Masters | Hard | F | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Jannik Sinner | 6-4 3-6 6-2 |
| 2023-03-20 | Miami Masters | Hard | R32 | Jannik Sinner | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Grigor Dimitrov | 4-6 6-4 6-4 |