── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Grigor Dimitrov
Jacob Fearnley
81%19%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 82% / 18%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
7th · poor
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong
Jacob Fearnley
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#41
model rank
#158
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
GBR
191cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Grigor DimitrovJacob Fearnley
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersClayR32Grigor Dimitrov6-4 7-6(3)