── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Grigor Dimitrov
Holger Rune
70%30%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Grigor Dimitrov
86th · strong
Holger Rune
79th · strong
Return
Grigor Dimitrov
71th · strong
Holger Rune
76th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#127
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
BUL
country
DEN
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Grigor Dimitrov■ Holger Rune
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–1
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Davis Cup WG1 R1: DEN vs BUL | Hard | RR | Holger Rune | 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Holger Rune | 7-6(9) 3-6 7-6(2) |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | F | Grigor Dimitrov | 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Grigor Dimitrov | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R16 | Holger Rune | 3-6 7-6(6) 7-6(4) 6-3 |