── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yannick Hanfmann a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yannick Hanfmann
Marcos Giron
51%49%
Hard: 42% / 58%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Marcos Giron
71th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#63
model rank
#65
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yannick HanfmannMarcos Giron
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Yannick Hanfmann6-4 6-7(3) 7-5
2025-11-02AthensHardQFYannick Hanfmann7-6(3) 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenHardR128Marcos Giron2-6 7-5 6-1 7-5