── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yannick Hanfmann 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yannick Hanfmann
Nicolas Jarry
66%34%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#63
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
CHI
193cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yannick HanfmannNicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass10
Clay22
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-16HalleGrassQ2Yannick Hanfmann6-3 6-3
2024-02-19Rio De JaneiroClayR32Yannick Hanfmann6-1 1-6 7-5
2023-05-08Rome MastersClayR128Yannick Hanfmann6-4 6-4
2023-02-27SantiagoClayQFNicolas Jarry3-6 6-3 6-4
2022-07-18GstaadClayR16Nicolas Jarry7-6(5) 7-6(2)