── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yannick Hanfmann
Frances Tiafoe
37%63%
Hard: 33% / 67%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#63
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Yannick Hanfmann | 6-7(9) 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-06-10 | Stuttgart | Grass | R16 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-5 7-6(5) |