── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yannick Hanfmann 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yannick Hanfmann
Lorenzo Sonego
60%40%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
85th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
39th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#98
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–1
Clay0–3
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Yannick Hanfmann2-6 6-3 6-1
2024-01-08AdelaideHardR32Lorenzo Sonego7-5 2-6 7-6(9)
2021-04-05CagliariClayQFLorenzo Sonego3-6 7-6(6) 6-3
2019-09-02Genova CHClayR32Lorenzo Sonego6-1 6-3
2019-04-29MunichClayQ1Lorenzo Sonego7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3
2017-10-16Ismaning CHHardFYannick Hanfmann6-4 3-6 7-5