── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Yannick Hanfmann a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yannick Hanfmann
Lorenzo Sonego
56%44%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 34% / 66%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#63
model rank
#87
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
Clay0–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Yannick Hanfmann | 2-6 6-3 6-1 |
| 2024-01-08 | Adelaide | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-5 2-6 7-6(9) |
| 2021-04-05 | Cagliari | Clay | QF | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2019-04-29 | Munich | Clay | Q1 | Lorenzo Sonego | 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3 |
| 2017-10-16 | Ismaning CH | Hard | F | Yannick Hanfmann | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |