── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yannick Hanfmann 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yannick Hanfmann
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
68%32%
Hard: 78% / 22%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
86th · strong
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
40th · average
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ARG
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23SantiagoClayR16Yannick Hanfmann6-4 6-3