── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Arnaldi a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yannick Hanfmann
Matteo Arnaldi
47%53%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 73% / 27%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
83th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
27th · below avg
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
33th · below avg
Matteo Arnaldi
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#63
model rank
#54
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | R32 | Yannick Hanfmann | 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 |