── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yannick Hanfmann 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yannick Hanfmann
Matteo Arnaldi
57%43%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 78% / 22%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yannick Hanfmann
86th · strong
Matteo Arnaldi
29th · below avg
Return
Yannick Hanfmann
40th · average
Matteo Arnaldi
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#61
model rank
#86
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
GER
country
ITA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Yannick Hanfmann■ Matteo Arnaldi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-13BrusselsHardR32Yannick Hanfmann6-7(4) 6-4 6-4