── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Monteiro a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Stefano Travaglia
Thiago Monteiro
45%55%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 39% / 61%
Grass: 53% / 47%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Stefano Travaglia
16th · poor
Thiago Monteiro
57th · average
Return
Stefano Travaglia
31th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#175
model rank
#154
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ITA
country
BRA
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Stefano Travaglia■ Thiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–3
Hard1–0
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-09-14Szczecin CHClayR32Thiago Monteiro6-3 7-6(3)
2023-09-04Genoa CHClayR32Thiago Monteiro6-2 1-6 6-4
2023-06-19Montechiarugolo CHClayQFStefano Travaglia6-3 7-6(5)
2022-09-19Genoa CHClayR32Thiago Monteiro4-6 6-2 6-4
2021-02-01Great Ocean Road OpenHardSFStefano Travaglia6-3 6-4