── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Stefano Travaglia
Shintaro Mochizuki
48%52%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Stefano Travaglia
15th · poor
Shintaro Mochizuki
0th · poor
Return
Stefano Travaglia
31th · below avg
Shintaro Mochizuki
85th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#173
model rank
#166
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Right
ITA
country
JPN
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Stefano Travaglia■ Shintaro Mochizuki
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | Manama CH | Hard | R32 | Stefano Travaglia | 6-3 7-6(1) |