── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes James Duckworth a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

James Duckworth
Adrian Mannarino
53%47%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
James Duckworth
57th · average
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#117
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

James DuckworthAdrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Grass11
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-14Los CabosHardR32James Duckworth6-3 6-4
2024-02-05DallasHardQFAdrian Mannarino6-2 3-1 RET
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardR128Adrian Mannarino6-4 2-6 3-6 6-2 6-1
2021-06-07StuttgartGrassR32James Duckworth6-3 6-2
2016-07-11NewportGrassR32Adrian Mannarino6-7(3) 7-6(5) 7-6(4)