── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes James Duckworth 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

James Duckworth
Facundo Bagnis
66%34%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 90% / 10%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
James Duckworth
57th · average
Facundo Bagnis
21th · below avg
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Facundo Bagnis
22th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#117
model rank
#167
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
ARG
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

James DuckworthFacundo Bagnis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-25Us OpenHardQ1James Duckworth6-4 6-2
2020-09-14Rome MastersClayQ2Facundo Bagnis7-6(4) 6-1