── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes James Duckworth 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
James Duckworth
Alex Bolt
57%43%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 32% / 68%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
James Duckworth
57th · average
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Return
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#117
model rank
#145
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ James Duckworth■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Brisbane 3 CH | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Jingshan CH | Hard | R32 | Alex Bolt | 6-2 6-7(1) 7-6(5) |
| 2013-10-21 | Melbourne CH | Hard | R32 | James Duckworth | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2013-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | Q1 | James Duckworth | 6-3 7-6(1) |
| 2012-12-10 | Hong Kong F2 | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 7-6(6) 7-5 |